This is an image preview.
Start a Free Account
to view the full image.

Nearly 3,000 illustrations, including video clips of neurologic disorders.
Every article is reviewed by our esteemed Editorial Board for accuracy and currency.
Full spectrum of neurology in 1,200 comprehensive articles.
Listen to MedLink on the go with Audio versions of each article.

Changes in the ecological suitability of West Nile virus in Europe

Download

Past and present ecological suitability estimated for each administrative unit are based on both the reconstructions of the historical climate (a) and a counterfactual baseline (b). Ecological suitability values are averaged over the estimates of 10 independent boosted regression tree (BRT) models trained on present-day data. Under factual climate conditions (a), model simulations show clear increases in West Nile virus ecological suitability in European regions, including northern Italy, the Carpathian Mountains, the lowlands in Hungary and eastern Romania, and the Aegean region in eastern Greece. (Source: Erazo D, Grant L, Ghisbain G, et al. Contribution of climate change to the spatial expansion of West Nile virus in Europe. Nat Commun 2024;15[1]:1196. Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International [CC BY 4.0] license, creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0.)